Thursday 10 March 2016

PREVIEW: Stoke v Southampton

Unavailable: Stoke – Bardsley, Johnson, Wilson
                       Southampton – Gardoş, Rodriguez, Wanyama, Austin, Fonte

Low on confidence. Check. Missing key players. Check. Only firing on about one cylinder. Check. Yes, it is just about the worst time that Southampton could rock up to the Britannia. In another turn this season (in fact a rather predictable one as Saints’ form has yo-yoed like West Brom in the 2000s), Ronald Koeman’s men are now struggling once again. Within the space of a week after a narrow and unlucky loss to Chelsea, Saints suffered from a lack of fight at Bournemouth, and a lack of ingenuity against Sunderland.

Of course, one does not simply tiptoe through a Sam Allardyce side – that privilege has to be earned through doing the hard graft. That part was achieved successfully. With Jordy Clasie back in the team alongside Oriol Romeu with Steven Davis in front, there was plenty of hustle and bustle in the engine room, but when it came down to it, the necessary spark deserted Saints. The home fans only woke up after Fraser Forster misjudged a free-kick that rattled the post such was the lack of anything at all happening on the pitch in the first half. In fact, their side only really stirred in the final five minutes after José Fonte had been dismissed, and Jermain Defoe had ever so predictably knicked a goal. The equaliser was actually of a very high standard. Stoppage time levellers are usually of poor quality – a ball lumped long and someone prodding it home (à la Papa Waigo’s effort in the dying embers of the JPT Area semi-final), but the build-up was intricate, and it was an extremely satisfactory moment when Virgil van Dijk leathered the ball past Vito Mannone.

So what were these newfound problems? To start with, after an excellent return, Forster has suffered from a lack of confidence with regards to indecision after Chelsea’s equaliser a fortnight ago. The invincibility he felt running through his veins for a month or so has left him. But that will return – with time – the England international has endured a real ordeal over the last year, and it was remarkable in the manner that he came back to create a club record.

The main issue last Saturday was the lopsided nature of the formation. Koeman had evidently put his side into a 4-2-3-1, but while Dušan Tadić operated effectively on the left touchline, Sadio Mané often stood just to the right of Davis who was in the No 10 role. In the first-half, the Senegalese was also extremely languid (but at least he perked up in the second period). This meant that little came from that wing, while Ryan Bertrand and Tadić were the only players who were having any sort of joy. Davis playing in the hole also poses problems. While he is an accomplished, tidy player who is superb as the third central-midfielder (and is only behind Van Dijk for Player of the Season currently); he lacks the driving, incisive presence which is required. Meanwhile, Graziano Pellè put in a decent shift, but still couldn’t link up sufficiently with his team-mates on a number of occasions. Unfortunately, you just get the feeling that his Saints career is fizzling out…

So. Much to be fixed before this Saturday, and a trip to the Potteries. Stoke have been impressive this season if not pretty inconsistent. While their spine remains strong and durable, their attacking flair is entrancing. Saints will have to be firm, and clever when breaking. A pacey counter attack could unlock the home defence – especially with Shane Long running in behind.

Key Battles


Diouf v Yoshida: Maya Yoshida is more than capable of being a solid enough replacement centre-back. If Florin Gardoş comes back with some accomplished performances, then the two can battle it out to be centre-back no 3, but the criticism fired at the Japanese is far too harsh. Slow on the turn he may be, but he is a lot more competent than most give him credit for. He is just simply not a full-back, and should never, ever be played there – unless in a complete emergency. On Saturday, he will have an opportunity in his natural position with José Fonte suspended. Mame Biram Diouf is an awkward customer blessed with pace and power, but Yoshida just needs to track his movement carefully, and if caught out over the top, then his communication with Virgil van Dijk will need to be on point.

Imbula v Clasie: Saints were heavily linked with Giannelli Imbula as a potential Morgan Schneiderlin replacement in the summer, but Ronald Koeman opted for compatriot Jordy Clasie, while Imbula went to Porto, and flopped – badly. Stoke snapped him up quickly at an affordable price before his stock rose again, and it was smart recruiting from the Potters. The Frenchman is incisive and powerful, and has the ability to dominate the midfield. This Saturday, Clasie will have to vindicate Koeman’s decision. The Dutchman is improving gradually, and has now shown that he is tough in the tackle, yet he is still not picking the ball up and dictating play. Stoke will be a harsh acid test of how far he has come in adjusting to the rigours of the Premier League.

Possible Line-ups


Stoke: Butland – Cameron, Shawcross (C), Wollscheid, Pieters – Imbula, Adam – Shaqiri, Bojan, Arnautović – Diouf

Haugaard, Muniesa, Whelan, Joselu, Afellay, Walters, Crouch

Southampton: Forster – Martina, Van Dijk, Yoshida, Bertrand – Romeu, Clasie, S. Davis (C) – Long, Mané – Pellè

Stekelenburg, Soares, Tadić, Ward-Prowse, Reed, Juanmi, Olomola

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